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[Hank Chinaski]

Originally posted by bilmore
I'm assuming you meant, now, with Bush in charge. I see Bush as the kind of person who will see that we have treaty obligations to do so, and so will do so. But, it might well stop with a few big boats parked next to T, and some overflights while people talk. Then, having technically complied with the treaty, we'd move on to pure diplomacy. But, I can't see Bush just ignoring the obligation. And I bet China would be pragmatic enough to understand exactly what Bush had to do, and accept it without escalation.

So, it's cynical, but I'm more optimistic that it would turn out okay in the end (unless you live in Taiwan, of course.)

I think China sees itself as inevitably THE world power in 50-100 years once the economic changes kick in. I frankly don't think it will invade because it knows it can just wait it out until we couldn't stop it anyway (I'm not saying I think we'll weaken- but I believe China does).